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Eurovision, the ranking of bookmakers: Ukraine favored for the win. But the most listened to remain Blanco and Mahmood – Open

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Eurovision, the ranking of bookmakers: Ukraine favored for the win.  But the most listened to remain Blanco and Mahmood – Open
Written by aquitodovale

By regulation, no one can send political messages on the stage of the Eurovision Song Contest. As a matter of practice, something happens in every edition. It therefore seems unlikely that, while Europe is fighting the largest conflict since the end of the Second World War, the Eurovision stage will remain devoid of any reference to current events. On the contrary. According to the bookmakers, the choice of the winner could be the biggest political gesture of the Festival. At the moment the favorites for the final victory are the Kalush Orchestra, the band that will represent Ukraine with the song Stefania. The chances of winning are very high. The Eurovisionworld portal has put together the odds assigned by the main betting companies and estimated Ukraine’s scenario as a winner at the 49 percent. For bettors, therefore, the public from every nation will decide to cast their votes in Kiev as a sign of solidarity for the war in Ukraine.

The ranking of plays

The Kalush Orchestra song is valid, for heaven’s sake. And certainly the fact that it went viral on TikTok in the videos that tell what is happening in Ukraine has helped its popularity but such a clear detachment from the others is motivated more by the war than by the music. Net of patriotism, looking at the Spotify data, the numbers are completely different: Chills by Blanco and Mahmood in fact it is the most listened to song among all those of Eurovision in 28 countries I know a total of 40 participants. From January to March the winning song of the Sanremo Festival has totaled 77 million reproductions streaming. This data is five times higher compared to the second in the ranking: Hold Me Closer by Cornelia Jakobs, the song that represents Sweden. In third place in this ranking is S10 from the Netherlands. According to data released by bookmakers Blanco and Mahmood they are in second place but very far from Ukraine: their probability of winning is 13 percent.

The ranking of bookmakers

Here is the complete Eurovisionworld ranking. Note the bad placement of Achille Lauro, who is assigned a probability of victory less than 1 percent:

  • Ukraine | Kalush Orchestra – Stefania 49%
  • Italy | Mahmood & Blanco – Chills 13%
  • United Kingdom | Sam Ryder – Space Man 9%
  • Sweden | Cornelia Jakobs – Hold Me Closer 8%
  • Spain | Chanel – SloMo 3%
  • Greece | Amanda Tenfjord – Die Together 3%
  • Poland | Ochman – River 2%
  • Norway | Subwoolfer – Give That Wolf a Banana 1%
  • Netherlands | S10 – De Diepte 1%
  • Serbia | Konstrakta – In Corpore Sano 1%
  • France | Alvan & Ahez – Fulenn 1%
  • Portugal | Maro – Saudade, saudade 1%
  • Australia | Sheldon Riley – Not the Same 1%
  • Finland | The Rasmus – Jezebel <1%
  • San Marino | Achille Lauro – Stripper <1%
  • Estonia | Stefan – Hope <1%
  • Czech Republic | We Are Domi – Lights Off <1%
  • Cyprus | Andromache – And the <1%
  • Armenia | Rosa Linn – Snap <1%
  • Malta | Emma Muscat – I Am What I Am <1%
  • Belgium | Jérémie Makiese – Miss You <1%
  • Switzerland | Marius Bear – Boys Do Cry <1%
  • Albania | Ronela Hajati – Sekret <1%
  • Moldova | Z. şi Zdub & A. Brothers – Trenuleţul <1%
  • Latvia | Citi Zēni – Eat Your Salad <1%
  • Germany | Malik Harris – Rockstars <1%
  • Croatia | Mia Dimšić – Guilty Pleasure <1%
  • Georgia | Circus Mircus – Lock Me In <1%
  • Azerbaijan | Nadir Rustamli – Fade To Black <1%
  • Ireland | Brooke Scullion – That’s Rich <1%
  • Israel | Michael Ben David – IM <1%
  • Iceland | Systur – Með hækkandi sól <1%
  • Denmark | Reddi – The Show <1%
  • Austria | LUM! X & Pia Maria – Halo <1%
  • Romania | WRS – Llámame <1%
  • Bulgaria | Intelligent Music Project – Intention <1%
  • Montenegro | Vladana – Breathe <1%
  • North Macedonia | Andrew – Circles <1%
  • Lithuania | Monika Liu – I felt <1%
  • Slovenia | LPS – Disko <1%

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  • Eurovision 2022, the Ukrainian band Kalush Orchestra: “We are here to remind you how unique our culture is” – Videos
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  • Mahmood, Blanco, Achille Lauro, but also the Irish Brooke or the Albanian Ronela: who is playing Eurovision. All the tracks in the race (for now)



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